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[경제] The Role of Fiscal Policies for External Imbalances: Evidence from the European Union

중동부유럽 일반 국외연구자료 연구보고서 - EconPol 발간일 : 2021-02-16 등록일 : 2021-02-18 원문링크

This research from António Afonso and José Carlos Coelho studies the existence of a causal relationship between the general government balance and the current account balance (assessed as a percentage of GDP) for 28 European Union countries, using annual data for 1996 to 2019. They find that an increase in budget deficit of 1 pp of GDP results in a deterioration of the current account deficit of 0.318 pp of GDP, which supports the Twin Deficits Hypothesis.

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